The Precedent is Set: One Bad Season And You're Out!
It came as a real surprise to me that Tommy Tuberville has been let go by Auburn. Yes, this season was absolutely horrible. If you think LSU's season was bad, and that it was caused by poor administrative decisions, well, Auburn's was much much worse. And there's no way to spin it other than that it was caused by poor administrative decisions. When you fire your first-year offensive coordinator halfway through the season, that's an admission that it was a bad idea to hire him in the first place.
And it bears pointing out that a lot of people thought it was a bad hire at the time.
This post is not to rehash all that, but to ask the nameless Auburn fans out there, is this a good move? My first thought is no.
While I think Tuberville deserved a year to get his team corrected, I am not going to get all high and mighty and talk about how awful it is that these poor coaches work so damn hard and have such little job security. First, that's the rules they all agreed to when they went into coaching football. If you want job security in football, go coach Pop Warner. Anything from the high school level and up comes with the unspoken (or even spoken) condition that you have to win or you'll be gone. That's life in the football profession.
Second, Tommy Tuberville has been compensated quite handsomely for his work at Auburn, and I'm sure his severance package will give him more money than most of us are likely to make over the course of our entire careers. And that's what they'll pay him just to go away.
Yes, I think that this particular firing takes the cake of coaches being on a short timer. Here's a guy who has given Auburn its most successful run in ages, having been a consistent 8 or 9 win team (or more) for his entire run on the plains, and after one admittedly horrible season he is done. But more than anything, my problem with this move is that I don't think Auburn's going to like how they fare in replacing him.
I hope that I am not giving Auburn fans a big surprise when I tell them that Auburn is not a particularly attractive destination for a college football coach. I will go through the litany of problems inherent in taking the Auburn job:
- You have a difficult recruiting situation. You're only the second most beloved school in your own state, and you're surrounded on all sides by power programs. Georgia is to the East. Florida State and Florida are to the South. LSU is to the West if you hop a little bit. Alabama is to the North. At Auburn, it is a fight for every big-time recruit against a team with a home field advantage over you.
- You have a meddling Board of Trustees and other petty annoyances. No head coach in the world wants someone looking over his shoulder all the time, and the Auburn program is crawling with looky-loos trying to tell you what to do and how to do it. Heck, Pat Dye goes on the radio once a week to tell the world what you're doing wrong, and he works for the same people you work for. Why would a guy like Mike Leach go to a place where his every move is going to be scrutinized and analyzed by dozens of people who think they can coach better than he can?
- Auburn is not a destination town. OK, there are lots of places that aren't destination towns, and I would include Baton Rouge and Tuscaloosa both among that list, but Auburn is at a disadvantage to places like Austin and Athens. That affects coaches and recruits equally, and is the primary reason Auburn probably is not going to be getting Will Muschamp.
- The expectations are impossibly high. As we have seen in the past few years, 8 or 9 wins per season is not enough. Having an undefeated season only buys you a year or so of the grumblers shutting up. Even when you're beating your rival year after year, people are calling for your head.
- The talent level you are inheriting is not all that great, at least in my opinion. Once again, if you're Mike Leach and you see that this team has failed miserably in a spread offense, why would you bring your own spread?
I think Auburn is going to get into its coaching search and discover that they are not as desirable of a job as, say, Washington. Washington is #1 in their state, is in a wonderfully attractive city and region, is in a place where a little bit of success would make them the #2 or #3 team in the whole conference fairly easily, and no one out there is claiming they know football better than you. Heck, at this point Clemson is probably a better job. Auburn, in my opinion, is probably about as attractive of a job as Georgia Tech is, perhaps even less attractive because the in-conference competition is so tough.
I don't think Auburn is a place that is going to be able to get a hot young coach on the rise. They are going to have to find either a not-so-hot name or a coordinator who will jump at the first chance to get a promotion.
Maybe they'll get into this search and pull a Will Muschamp, Gary Pinkel, Jim Grobe, Mike Leach or someone like that, but I doubt it.
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this is probably about as on the same page
as i’ve ever been with you richard. good stuff.
and to piggyback the very end, they’re not going to come anywhere close to any of those candidates save for MAYBE grobe.
by gerry dorsey on
Dec 3, 2008 9:37 PM CST
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I agree and disagree...
First off, do I think Auburn should have fired Tubbs? No. But do I understand it? Absolutely.
I don’t think Auburn should have fired Tubbs because I agree with everything you said about Auburn not being a great job. It just seems like a coach will be at a great disadvantage there for recruiting, they are the #2 school in the state, and despite what the Aubies think the talent level there currently is only average. They have the worst WR’s in the league and their O-line is below average. If Marks and Coleman go pro off of their D-line, suddenly their great defense will be very average as well.
But, what choice did Tubberville give Auburn? Let’s compare Tubby’s reaction to this season compared to Miles’. Post-season Miles has taken the initiative and made it very obvious that he was not happy about this season and that he will make the coaching changes necessary to turn this thing around in the short term, before the bowl game. It also seems he is helping our current coordinators locate other jobs before they are cut from LSU as to not burn any bridges and give the appearance that he is a great boss. During the season he stuck with his guys through the entire season to make sure he gave them the benefit of the doubt despite the debacle unfolding in front of us. Les did all of this without pressure from HIS bosses. This is a man that knows how to lead and wants to win.
Tubberville on the other hand has handled his own debacle of a season completely opposite of Miles. He fires his new OC mid-season for not producing on the field, and then manages to lead his team to a worse offensive performance after the change. And while no one is sure exactly what took place the last few days, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that Tubberville was basically fired because he refused to fire the rest of his under achieving offensive staff.
It was a tough decision, but realistically they had to fire the guy.
Will they be better off for it, who knows? I’d much rather be playing against Tubberville than Grobe or Leach though.
And I’m not even sure why Muschamp’s name is being mentioned. As long as Auburn’s AD is still there, Muschamp will go nowhere near that place.
by LSU Jonno on
Dec 3, 2008 9:43 PM CST
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One guy I would look at if I were Auburn
would be Brent Venables from OU.
by artiger on
Dec 4, 2008 9:54 AM CST
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Ah, yes...
… he of the magnificent OU D. Yes, I know the offenses in the Big 12 are what they are and they have given up a lot of points at the end of blowouts. Further, as Richard so clearly delineates, there may not be many takers and Venebles might be the best they can get. As someone who likes LSU I hope you enjoy his tenure. As a Horn fan, however, I am most reluctant to have him leave Norman.
marshalld
by duras on
Dec 6, 2008 1:42 PM CST
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I think & I hope
I think this was a mistake.
I hope they hire Nick Saban.
by uberschuck on
Dec 4, 2008 12:25 AM CST
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why?
so lsu can lose to auburn on a regular basis??
by gerry dorsey on
Dec 4, 2008 5:39 AM CST
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Schadenfreude in seeing Bama get jilted.
By the way, what’s Saban’s record vs. LSU?
Regular basis my foot!
by uberschuck on
Dec 4, 2008 8:50 PM CST
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1-1??
i really don’t know. however i don’t think 2 years is a very reasonable sample size either.
by gerry dorsey on
Dec 5, 2008 9:14 AM CST
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Saban is 1-2 vs. LSU. He lost to us when he was at MSU.
by uberschuck on
Dec 5, 2008 8:49 PM CST
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Impossible situation
From a performance standpoint, pushing Tubs out does seem highly reactionary and stupid. Jonno makes a very good point about how poorly Tubs handled the problems of this season, and I think that gets to the real reason for the departure.
The relationship between the coach and the school was poisoned from the Petrino incident in 2003. I’ve heard that the contract Tubs signed after that included clauses stating he could not talk to other schools about openings and Auburn could not talk to other coaches about their position. That sort of relationship isn’t going to end well. Compare it to Saban’s last contract, which removed any penalty for the coach leaving LSU if he so chose, and you get the idea.
On its face, the move seems like upping the ante of performance pressure, but I think it’s hard to apply the Tubs situation to others because of the nasty history.
by Cap'n Ken on
Dec 4, 2008 2:12 AM CST
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Nasty history...
Yes. His blase “I’m the man to lead this team back” speil didn’t help. Top that off with the cavalier way he has been recruiting. Getting whacked in-state for talent while you go on junkets isn’t generally favorable to the bottom line. Florida is drying up for Auburn. With No. Car. and Ga. Tech ascendant, he can’t even count on poaching some of the carolina talent and Atlanta kids. Pride comes before the fall, and eventually he had to own up to his own mistakes. For Tubs, that has never been about introspection and self-correction, it’s about platitudes and firing coordinators.
by Stuck in the Plains on
Dec 4, 2008 8:58 AM CST
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