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Where Do We Go From Here?

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I found a picture of a somewhat contemplative Les Miles.  It fits my mood.

I am somewhat at a loss for how to view the rest of the season.  I knew when the schedule was finalized that this team would be something of a mystery with Hatch/Lee at QB and with a bunch of new defensive backs and linebackers.  We all knew that anything said about this team's prospects and quality would be guesswork until after the Auburn game.  We all knew that if this team wanted to reach its yearly goal of winning the SEC, beating Auburn was almost a necessary step along the way.

Now we've beaten Auburn.  Honestly, I did not expect it.  I don't make predictions on this site and don't in general find the predictions of others to be interesting to read, but I thought we would probably not win this past game.  I thought our QB play would not allow it unless we held Auburn to single digits, which would be very unlikely.

Now we've done it.  Now, our team is not as much of a mystery as it was even a few short days ago.  Now we have some idea of what this team is made of and what it can do.  We know it can a) run the ball, and b) stop the run.  We also know that when Jarrett Lee is hot, he is pretty darn good and we can unleash the power of our wide receivers.  When Jarrett Lee is not hot, we're better off not passing unless we have to, even if Jarrett Lee is not in the game.

This of course leaves us with the burning question, how often will Jarrett Lee be hot?  We don't have an answer for that one quite yet.  I'll get back to you about that in, oh, November.

The schedule doesn't get much easier from here.  We get Mississippi State next, and while they held Auburn to 3 points in Starkville, you have to think we're a lot better than they are.  Unless we play well below our level, or unless MSU's backup quarterback gets named the starter and it is revealed he can pass, we should come out of that one 4-0.  There are no easy games in this conference, however, and we will have to be ready.  The fans can look ahead, but the players can't.

Then we get a week off to get Darry Beckwith and Andrew Hatch healthy before we take on the SEC East portion of our schedule.  

We go to the Swamp to take on a Florida team that looks nigh invulnerable.  The good news is that if we play our best we have a chance to win that game, the same way we beat Auburn.  But Florida is better than Auburn.  They have a more explosive offense and probably close to as good of a defense.  The other part of the good news is that we can meet all of our goals of the season even if we lose to Florida.

After that, it's South Carolina in Columbia, and they've already put up their best game.  It was against Georgia.  They lost.  Now they're back to struggling against weak competition.  Once again, unless we play way below our level, or SC plays well above theirs, this is a game we should win handily.

Then it's Georgia at home.  Like with Florida, I think this is a team that looks significantly better than we do to this point.  They have an explosive offense and a solid defense, and they will be tough to beat.  Once again, we w ill have to be at our best to have a chance, but at least the home field should help.  This will be another tough one, and it would be epic if we win.

Once again at that point, it will be time to re-evaluate.  We will be to the stretch run of the SEC schedule.  We'll have Ole Miss, Alabama, and Arkansas left, along with OOC matchups Troy and Tulane.  We can win all of those games, even if Alabama is looking a lot better than expected at this point.  

All of our goals are in reach, and we probably don't have to pull off any big, dramatic wins to do it.  Just beat all the teams in the West and beat South Carolina and we are more than likely in the SEC Championship Game.  I'm not thinking BCS Championship Game yet, and I probably won't start at any time this season.  Just give me a shot at the SEC and I'll be thrilled.

I guess we can say that the season has finally started, and we are looking pretty good.  There's a long way to go though.

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Lee will likely remain inconsistent...

If the coaches can accept a little risk, I see Lee making great plays after mistakes. I think he’d benefit from that kind of a year, and so would the team. And I think LSU can win the west on the shoulders of the defensive front 7, the offensive front 6, and our offensive RBs and WRs.

lsutigerbait.blogspot.com

by TigerBait on Sep 24, 2008 7:15 AM CDT   0 recs

This is turning into the most fun season since 2003.

Don’t get me wrong, last year was fun, but there was a certain expectation, almost a feeling of entitlement last year which accompanied every game.

This year, we new we’d be good, but we didn’t know how good. I remember Josh Henson talking to the Birmingham Alumni Association Crawfish Boil back in April. He said, “At this stage of our program, our goal is to win the National Championship every year.” At the time I really though, OK that is just something you tell the alumni to get them fired up. Now I’m starting to think he was serious.

by LSU Jonno on Sep 24, 2008 7:58 AM CDT   0 recs

Georgia & Alabama

I’m curious why you have such a large perception gap between what it would mean to beat Georgia and what it would mean to beat Alabama. Beating Georgia would be “epic”, but we “can win” the Alabama game over a team that is “looking a lot better than expected”.

I would expect very different games, but is the Alabama team that destroyed Clemson (3-1) and Arkansas (2-1) not close to the Georgia team that dominated Arizona State (2-2) and barely beat South Carolina (2-2)? Georgia is No. 1 in the SEC in total offense, but No. 8 in total defense. Alabama is No. 6 in total offense and No. 3 in total defense.

Georgia, Florida and Alabama all look really strong at this point, but so did Auburn. And Auburn was only in the game Saturday because we allowed them to be. Honestly I don’t think we know enough yet about any of our big 3 remaining opponents (but the most about Florida). This weekend, of course, will clear up a lot about Georgia and Alabama, but so far Georgia’s only proved that they are a good team, not a great one.

by Cap'n Ken on Sep 24, 2008 8:07 AM CDT   0 recs

I’m just not a believer in Bama yet. I think they rode a big emotional high to beat Clemson, and since then they’ve played patsies, and I would include Arkansas in that as well.

I think they’re better than I thought at the beginning of the year, but their depth is still very suspect and we don’t know how they’ll hold up against better teams. A few injuries could really derail them. For example, do you think they could have withstood the loss of their best linebacker, like we have?

I think it remains to be seen how they do against the truly good teams in the conference. If they go out and play even with Georgia, we’ll have to re-evaluate them, but for right now I put them a couple notches below the best teams in the conference, which would be a notch below us. That’s not to say they can’t beat us. Surely they can, but we SHOULD beat them if both teams play their best. They’re definitely the best opponent in that back third of the schedule though.

Richard Pittman

by Richard Pittman on Sep 24, 2008 9:23 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

The history of the series

…unlike recent Auburn-LSU games, has NOT featured both teams playing their best. It will wholly depend on which pair of Bama-LSU teams show up (talent-wise, LSU should win).

by Stuck in the Plains on Sep 24, 2008 9:35 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Fair enough, but I also haven’t bought into Georgia yet. I don’t know that Alabama is the team to exploit them, but the Dawgs sport the 11th-best pass defense in the SEC and the 85th-best in the country. ASU was too one-dimensional to exploit that, but I don’t see evidence yet that they are beyond “really good”, so the “epic win” notion seems rather premature.

by Cap'n Ken on Sep 24, 2008 10:45 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Totally agree about Bama

God knows what this team is capable of. Our starting 11 talent is right up there with the SEC elite. The backups will be in time but they are freshmen. Our season rides on the shoulders of our QB Wilson. If he plays well and doesn’t implode then i think we be VERY competative in all our “big” games. This UGA game on Saturday will show a lot about both teams, i agree. I do feel our O-line is better than their d-line and i also think our d-line is better than their o-line. If the Cocks can control both sides of the ball, there is no reason not to believe we can’t. But again, if Wilson has an off night, our offense is in trouble.

BTW our schedule has been just as tough if not harder than anyone else in the SEC. We have taken care of business in all our games save Tulane. And we struggled in that one due to the emotional win over Clemson.

Don't take life to seriously, you'll never get out alive.

by bammer on Sep 24, 2008 11:17 AM CDT   0 recs

What scares me...

The first post mentioned Lee and him obtaining experience. We should not assume that Lee has won a starting role. Miles has always been dedicated to his players and that dedication has each of them reaching down deep to perform for him (for the most part!). This is one of the key reasons Coach Miles is successful. If Hatch is healthy, I expect more of the quarterback rotations we saw in the first half of the Auburn game. That, in my opinion, could be problematic.

by FlaTiger on Sep 24, 2008 1:47 PM CDT   0 recs

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