Is the Offense Improving?
By just about any measure, the LSU offense has been pretty poor this season. Despite some improvement in the last two games, LSU ranks 8th in the SEC in scoring offense, 12th in total offense, 10th in rushing offense, and 9th in passing offense. But at least we're 3rd in pass offense efficiency. For the sake of completion, we rank 10th in first downs, 8th in time of possession, 7th in red zone offense, and a shocking 2nd in third down conversions. So, we do something well.
Take your pick of which stat you want to use, the results aren't good. The offense probably reached its nadir against Florida, where poor play calling, a non-existent running game, and a hesitant QB resulted in a perfect storm of 162 yards of total offense, 3 points, and a miserable 3.45 yards per play average. The bye week really couldn't have come at a better time. Since the bye week, LSU's offense has not only performed better, it has actually looked better. Look at the changes between the prior six games and the last two games:
|
|
Rushing |
Passing |
Totals |
||||||||||
|
|
no. |
yds |
td |
lg |
comp |
att |
yds |
int |
td |
lg |
Plays |
Yds |
YPP |
|
First 6 |
35.5 |
123.83 |
0.83 |
33 |
15.50 |
24.50 |
171.17 |
0.50 |
1.33 |
58 |
60 |
295 |
4.92 |
|
Last 2 |
36.5 |
194.5 |
3 |
69 |
17.5 |
27 |
221 |
0.5 |
2 |
39 |
63.5 |
415.5 |
6.54 |
The passing game has improved and the running game has dramatically improved, though most of that is an illusion from gaining so many yards against Tulane. Which brings us to the real issue: is this actual improvement from the offense or is this just a function of playing two terrible defenses back to back?
I think the passing improvement is definitely real. LSU only passed for 188 yards versus Tulane, which exceeds the average of the first six games, but not by much. LSU spent most of the game trying to re-establish the dormant running game. But what is encouraging is the progression of passing yards by game:172 - 148 - 166 - 233 - 212 - 96 - 254 - 188
Looked at as a progression, the Florida game is the real outlier here. In Jordan Jefferson's last five games, he has posted his four best total yardage numbers of the season. This is most likely not the mirage of Auburn's defense, but real improvement as a sophomore kid gets more comfortable with the job of starting quarterback.
The running game, on the other hand, is still a huge concern. LSU was able to outmuscle Tulane's smallish front, something that simply will not happen against Alabama. Or probably anyone else in the SEC. LSU rushed for 122 yards against Auburn, right in line with the season average up to that point. In this case, Tulane is the outlier and the radical improvement of the run game is likely a one game mirage.
What does this all mean? It means that Crowton has done a good job of building off the one thing the offense has done well all season: pass the ball efficiently. Not only are Jefferson's numbers getting better, it is also verified by observation. Jefferson looks better and more confident in the pocket over the last few games, Florida excluded. It is also entirely reasonable to expect young players with little starting experience to get better as the season goes on.
The offense is not healed. The offensive line is still an ineffective unit. They let up lots of sacks and don't open many holes for the running game. But this offense is not nearly as inept as it was in September, and I have far more confidence in the passing game to gain yards than I did just a month ago.
The running game may be a lost cause this season, but maybe there is hope now that Russell Shepard is lining up as a running back instead of as a quarterback. He seems like he can find holes and it doesn't tip our hand when he lines up in the backfield. We'll see how real the progress has been in the passing game this week. The way out may be just to sling it.
0 recs |
8 comments
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Comments
Using Russel Shepard
I think this will be the key for our offense going forward. The Oline is only going to improve so much, if any, and a player like Shep can quickly mask a bad Oline. It looks like Crowton is starting to get a better feel for Shep.
Now…the most important aspect of the Bama game for our off is staying out of 3rd and FOREVER situations…it seemed liked against Florida every other 3rd down was 15 or more yds.
The off MUST avoid sacks and penalties like the plague in this game. We are not going to pound the ball on Bama, so we will have to rely on a healthy play mix, but nothing will kill that faster than very predictable down and distance situations.
by schexyoung on Nov 2, 2009 2:27 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Shep
I love him lining up as a running back. He has effectively taken Keiland’s position. Right now, he’s an explosive guy who is a threat to do something spectacular every time he touches the ball. I don’t think he can take more than 5-10 touches becuase of his small size, but he can make those touches count.
Fake Pundit. Real Fan.
http://www.andthevalleyshook.com
by Poseur on Nov 2, 2009 2:32 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
small size
The small size doesn’t seem to deter florida giving the ball to Demps and Rainey. Granted, you may be right, but they seemed to have made it work for a while now.
by Zandor435 on Nov 2, 2009 5:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Still want to see him run the zone read option with Trindon 2-3 times per game
CHAD JONES! WOOOO!!!!
by The Bengal on Nov 2, 2009 2:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Would it kill Crowton...
To let Shep throw the ball…just once…please
by schexyoung on Nov 2, 2009 2:56 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
If it's going to happen this season, this is the week for it.
CHAD JONES! WOOOO!!!!
by The Bengal on Nov 2, 2009 3:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Almost think the defense has to win this game for us
I like our chances of picking off a throw or getting a fumble for a short field – then go for the end zone. Alabama should be tight playing at home with all the expectations on them to redeem last year. The key is keeping this one close going into the fourth quarter. I’m oddly confident we’re going to be okay.
by TigerPaw on Nov 3, 2009 12:10 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
disturbing tendency
Through the season we’ve mentioned several times the problem of Jordan Jefferson taking enormous 7-10 step drop backs and then getting tackled behind the line. I think someone noted that he didn’t drop back that far in the auburn game. While I watched the Tulane game, I noticed that he did it a couple times. This might be another one of those flaws that we can get away with against Tulane, but certainly not Alabama.
But forget that bullcrap. Down with Alabama!
by uberschuck on Nov 3, 2009 12:20 AM CST reply actions 0 recs

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