Florida Preview and Game Thread
Tonight, we continue our never-ending series of big SEC games. This time at home. This time against Florida. This time on a nationally televised broadcast.
There are some reasons to be optimistic here. First, the game is at home. That's always big. Second, Florida does not have that dominant post presence that has cut us to ribbons all year whenever we've had to face it. Sure, Alex Tyus is a very nice forward, but his 6'8" 220# frame is not the fearsome presence that some other big men in the SEC present. Though Florida is a good team, this is not as bad of a matchup for LSU as some other teams present.
What Florida has is a lot of length throughout their lineup. They are led of course by Nick Calathes, a pretty sure bet to be an All-SEC selection at guard. Did you know he's listed at 6'6"? He leads them in scoring with over 18 points per game, and he's shooting almost 43% from three point range. Tyus, Chandler Parsons, and Dan Werner all measure up at 6'8" or taller, but they both take nearly as many 3-point shots as they do 2-point shots.
They also have some smaller players. Walter Hodge seems to have been around forever, but his point production has declined from last year to this year along with his minutes. Some of his minutes seem to be occupied by newcomer Erving Walker, a 5'8" shooter who is the other of Florida's players shooting over 40% from 3-point range.
They're a formidable, dangerous team. We will have to play better against Florida than we did against Auburn, as they are simply more talented and more athletic all-around.
They can be inconsistent, however. This is a team with the talent to be running away with the SEC East, but like LSU they lack quality wins. They lost to Kentucky in their only meeting so far. They lost to Tennessee. They split their series with South Carolina. Their best win by a mile is an early-season win over Washington in Seattle. Couple that with some bad losses (Georgia? I mean, really?) and you're looking at a team that looks really solid on paper, but hasn't translated it to the court when it matters.
The key will be stopping their perimeter game. They've attempted 165 more 3-pointers than we have on the season and they're hitting them at 37%, the same as us. Our perimeter defense will have to be much better than it was against Auburn. We also have to win the battle on the boards. For such a long team, Florida doesn't really have great rebounding numbers. We need to press that advantage.
Florida may be as talented a team as we've played all season, but we can beat them if we play our game and don't make a lot of mistakes. Our big players will have to come through.
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here's a great strategy for you guys
Leave Parsons wide open. If you get him to start chucking 3s, we’re toast!
and if he happens to sink the first one, don’e be upset – because then he won’t hesitate to keep shooting when he misses the next 9!!
We’re a poor rebounding team, and nobody works the glass like LSU. So unless we are shooting the lights out, it might be a long night for the Gators.
Here’s a question for yall – will Mardi Gras affect the game? Will the arena be less rowdy than normal because everyone will be someplace better?
We’re hoping for anything we can get tonight~
Looking forward to a good game…hopefully.
The arena is usually not rowdy anyway.
Richard Pittman
by Richard Pittman on Feb 24, 2009 3:44 PM CST up reply actions
When everything is going right, Florida is definitely a difficult team to stop – we can usually put four 3-point shooters on the floor at a time, both Calathes and Walker are fine point-guards, and the full-court press forces a considerable number of turnovers. The points can pile up in a real hurry (UF is currently 11th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and 8th in effective FG%.)
But – there’s not much of a plan B. Two of our high-volume shooters – Parsons and Werner – are very streaky, shooting us out of games as often as in, and with our lack of experienced size the Gators tend to give back as many possessions with offensive rebounds as they take away with turnovers (contributing to a sterling [cough] 113th ranking in adjusted defensive efficiency; your points may also pile up in a hurry.) Also, while UF generally shoots very well, the percentages tend to drop off sharply in the last four or five minutes – probably due to lack of depth (UF’s down to about a seven-man rotation right now, including two freshmen.)
Good game
We played tough, but in the end, yall are just a better team than we are. I think next year is when we make a marked improvement. Congrats on the SEC regular season title.
Thanks
The Gators should be very good the next couple of years.
by GasHouseGorillas on Feb 25, 2009 9:32 AM CST up reply actions
Good win for y'all.
Our boys gave it their best shot. We’re just not quite good enough to pull these close ones out this year.
Orange and Blue Hue: The World through GATOR-colored Glasses -- http://www.orangeandbluehue.com

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