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5 Players LSU Can't Afford to Lose to Injury

Back in August of 2008, I wrote a post entitled "5 Players We Can Ill-Afford to Lose to Injury".  The title was self-explanatory.  I attempted to name off five players who were too important to the 2008 season for us to lose without significant costs.  Those players were, in order, Ciron Black, Colt David, Darry Beckwith, Ricky Jean-Francois, and Richard Dickson.

Alas, Darry Beckwith got hurt and missed time, seeming to not return to full strength for the rest of the season.  Ricky Jean-Francois ended up not being all that important despite being healthy.  Many of us overrated him.  Otherwise, it was a good list.

This year, I found the list of 5 essential players to be harder to compile.

Star-divide

1.  Ciron Black, LT.  Last year, we were mainly concerned about the fact that there was no backup plan to Ciron Black.  backup left tackle Jarvis Jones had been expelled from the team and it appeared that if Black went down we would have to go with an out-of-position guard or a true freshman.  Now we at least have a backup plan, as Greg Shaw did some nice things as a true freshman backup tackle last year, and we have a nice true freshman class of linemen as well.  The depth is there, but Ciron Black is the most experienced player on the team, having been a full-time starter and every-down player for the past 3 seasons.  He actually has a chance, if he stays healthy, to tie a record for most games started by a college player.  If LSU goes to the SEC Championship Game and then to a bowl, Black will share that record.  It will be a big luxury to have such an experienced player at left tackle.

2.  Brandon Lafell, WR.  I defended LSU's depth at wide receiver last night, but the fact is that Brandon Lafell is the only proven high-level player at that position.  People seem to forget how productive Lafell was last year, and how productive the passing game in general was.  In a league where Julio Jones and A.J. Green got most of the press, Brandon Lafell led the league in receptions, was second (to Green) in receiving yards, and tied for the lead in touchdown catches.  He was a deserving 1st Team All-SEC player, and he is returning for a 5th season.  The most productive wideout other than Lafell returning is Terrance Toliver, whose 22 catches last season for 257 yards was probably a disappointment, but it's not at all too late for Toliver to reach that vast potential.  It would be nice to let him do it while Lafell is getting double-covered though.

3.  Rahim Alem, DE.  Alem is an outstanding player, but here is where the picking gets tougher.  I really think the depth is there on defensive line that we will have good players there no matter what.  Alem is just such a good pass rusher and such an athletic guy that he adds a dimension to the defensive line that would be very difficult to replace, even if we could easily plug a competent guy in there after him.  I just don't think we could plug in a dynamic penetrator and pass rusher like Alem.  If Alem were to get hurt, we would have to turn to unproven freshman Chancey Aghayere and Sam Montgomery in an attempt to find that spark.  

4.  Richard Dickson, TE.  I picked him last year, saying:

The big passing target is going to be an important outlet for our young quarterbacks all season long.  If they struggle to get the ball to the outside, Dickson will be there finding holes in the zone and giving them a big target to throw to. There is no receiving tight end to speak of behind him, and no receiver quite like him on the team, so he is going to be an essential part of the offense.

You could just cut and past the first two sentences of that entry here and it would still true.  We still have young quarterbacks.  We can still expect them to struggle at times.  Dickson was our #3 receiver in both catches and yards last season, and I would expect the same this season.  One difference is that I think we have better depth there now than we did last season, but like Ciron Black, Dickson has been a 3-year starter and it would be impossible to replace that experience.

5.  Chad Jones, S.  It gets harder and harder here.  Chad Jones looks like a star at this position, but we are really getting into areas where the depth is also outstanding.  If we were to lose Chad Jones, we could plug Danny McCray in there, and he would do very well as a regular safety, as opposed to nickel back where he has been used and where he struggles.  Or we could insert Karnell Hatcher, who I thought was outstanding as a freshman backup last year.  Or we could move Harry Coleman back to safety again.  Jones is great but there are options, and losing him would not be the end of the world.  The same could be said in varying degrees of Patrick Peterson, Drake Nevis, Charles Scott, Lyle Hitt, Joseph Barksdale, Perry Riley, and others who are sure to be important players on this team.  You have to choose someone, so you might as well choose the best left-handed pitcher on the football roster.

Of course, this list could change between now and September 5, 2009, as it is always possible for us to lose more players to injury and/or attrition, screwing up the depth at various positions.

Who are your five?

0 recs  |  Comment 10 comments |

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I think Charles Scott is deserving of the 5 spot.

You named 3 other players who could come in and replace Chad Jones that you’d be comfortable with.

With Ridley already out, Murphy and Keilland being “streaky” players, and Michael Ford as a true Freshman, losing CS would be devastating in my opinion. But who knows, maybe this is the year Keilland pulls it all together.

And maybe CJ will be an All American.

by LSU Jonno on Jun 30, 2009 8:07 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree

I’ll take the first 3 from Richard, Charles Scott, and I’ll add Jordan Jefferson. QB is still going to be really important and I don’t want to rely on Lee or a true freshman.

by Bob Barker on Jun 30, 2009 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Disagree

Running back is probably the deepest position on the team. I guarantee Murphy or Keiland would step up, and with our running qb’s, we don’t necessarily need a dominating RB. Florida spreads the ball around without having a feature back, and they do just fine, I think we could do the same thing.

I do agree that Jefferson should be on that list. Unless Lee has improved by leaps and bounds this offseason, I don’t want to see him as anything but the backup. As for Shepard, if he started, we would probably have to limit the playbook quite a bit. We could still be dangerous, as all teams with a running QB are, but we need Jefferson.

As for Lafell, he is obviously the best WR on the team from what we’ve seen so far, but I don’t think losing him for a couple games would kill the season. It reminds me of 2007, when our only proven WR coming in to the year was Doucet, but then he got hurt for games 2-6, and we did pretty good without him. We weren’t better, but all I am saying is that if Lafell goes down, others will step up, and it won’t kill our season.

by Ianoka on Jun 30, 2009 4:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Love this post - great topic

I agree with your list. Just have some comments.

If Black gets hurt, Jamarkus Hardrick (JC) may be an awesome option at that spot.

Lafell is even more critical now that Molton is injured. Randle could be just as good as Green or Jones in their freshman seasons, which would also relieve the pressure on Lafell.

Only other comment – I disagree @lanoka regarding RB. Murphy hasn’t shown he can produce in games. K. Williams has not been an every down production back – he can burn a big hole, but he can’t create or get extra yards like C. Scott. I think RB is a real concern unless K. Williams has an amazing turnaround.

lsutigerbait.blogspot.com

by TigerBait on Jun 30, 2009 9:51 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree...

I think LSU fans are really drinking the cool-ade with our RB situation. Had Ridley not gotten hurt I’d feel a lot more confident. When people think about our depth with Murphy and Williams I think people are still thinking about their 4 and 5 star ratings out of highschool and not what they’ve displayed on the field so far.

I am a big Williams and Murphy fan, but I also have nothing to point to to justify a statement like “I guarantee one of those guys would step up if they had to.” I think they would step it up, but I’m not overly confident in it.

Ford is the wild card obviously, but he’s a true freshman, and it seems like our running game may be a little too complicated for a true freshman to come in and really make an impact. I’m just remembering our first few games in 2005 under Miles where we were horrible at running the football.

by LSU Jonno on Jul 1, 2009 7:58 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

LSU fans are drinking the kool-ade

People think that Williams, Murphy, Ridley, Ford, and Calhoun are making our backfield solid. I’m not just worried if we lose Scott to injury, but worried about the future years. Next year we will have Ridley, Murphy, Ford, and Calhoun. Right now it seems that we are losing in all of the RB recruiting battles. None of our current guys have shown they can play every down or even carry a major load. I am most confident in Ridley and Ford, but they could always bust. Either way, 4 RB’s we that have a chance at playing time on the roster for all classes seems low. We really need to land a major guy this year. If not, that makes the 2011 recruiting class make it or break it at RB.

by Bob Barker on Jul 1, 2009 12:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am probably a little more confident than you...

In that I’m a big Ridley fan. Now I’m saying this based on what I saw of him in the Tulane game last year, so yeah maybe I am drinking the kool-ade, but I think everyone pretty much thinks Ridley is going to be really good. Hopefully he comes back from his injury strong.

I think Ford will be good as well, but he probably won’t be much help to us this year. Going to take a year for him to get it mentally.

We did just land Storm. I think he is enough, combined with Ridley and Ford, to get us to a really comfortable position until we land a couple of 2011 LA RB studs. Lache would be a huge wild card, but at this point it seems he is going to Auburn. Funny thing is, Lache may be able to help LSU just as much playing for Auburn as he can playing for LSU if he can take some momentum away from Bama. That’s kinda how I picture losing recruits to AU these days. It’s a win-win in my mind.

by LSU Jonno on Jul 1, 2009 3:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think there's any need for concern...

Running backs often need to get in a rhythm, and they don’t do that by getting a carry here, a carry there, which is what is happening to Murphy and Williams. In case you have forgotten, Williams was the projected starter before last year, because no one had seen Scott get consistent carries. We have seen flashes of what they can do, and I have to think that the more carries they get, the more in the zone they will get, so I’m not overly worried about Scott getting hurt. In fact if Williams or Murphy steps up like I think they could, we could be better, because they both present a much bigger home run threat than Scott does.

by Ianoka on Jul 1, 2009 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would put Jefferson above Chad Jones at the moment, but otherwise I agree with your list. My reasoning is that the team trusts him now after he’s led them through a great bowl win, isn’t cocky about it, and seems to have other good intangibles. I’m not saying that Chad Jones doesn’t have that (I think he does and in fact seems to be a leader and a great player to have in a locker room), I’m just saying that QBs get looked up to in more situations than almost any other position player where a good attitude is key.

Shepard seems to have similar intangibles but is unproven; same with Garrett. Lee, I think, may have already had his chance to lead this team and I’m not sure how the team psyche/morale would react to a second chance.

I like Jones as a close #6. I’ll go out and predict that he’ll get more picks this season than anyone else on the team did this past season. However, I think Peterson will lead the team in picks in 09 (assuming good health all around, knock on wood).

by LSU FAN on Jun 30, 2009 10:21 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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