Can't Sleep From the Worry
Richard likes to break these up in to several parts, but I like lists, so I'll keep this to one article. There's a lot of optimism surrounding this Tiger team which is great, but let's not pretend 2008 was nothing but a bad dream. One dominant win in the Corporate Sponsor Peach Bowl does not suddenly mean all that ailed this program is suddenly cured.
Last year was a miserable year. You can even go through the archives to relive if you're feeling particularly masochistic (or you're a fan of a rival school looking for some schadenfraude). And many of those same problems are lurking right outside the frame. With that in my mind, here are the five things about this season which are keeping me up at night.
#1 THE QUARTERBACKS.
Jefferson comes into the season as the establishes starter, but this is a guy who boasted a completion percentage below 50 percent last season, and that's with a 16-25 gem against GT helping out the old statline. Jefferson can run, but he also took 9 sacks in 73 attempts (compared to Lee's 8 in 269). Jefferson has not shown an ability to throw the deep ball to stretch the defense, a critical skill in the SEC. He doesn't need to be a big armed gunslinger, but he does have to have some ability to throw downfield.
If Jefferson should be ineffective or get hurt, Lee is sitting on the sidelines. Lee has all of the tools and he throws a pretty ball, but it's hard to tell how much psychic baggage he is carrying from last season. He's saying all the right things in fall practice, but that's just practice. If he gets in a game, it is 100% certain he will make a poor play at some point. And there is just no telling how he will react to a bad play.
#2 THE SECONDARY.
It's no secret that teams passed at will against LSU last season. The reason there is essentially an open tryout at every position on defense is because of how badly the team got torched by even mediocre SEC quarterbacks. Now, I'm willing to place a lot of blame on last year's defensive co-ordinators, but that doesn't completely absolve the players. Guys like Chad Jones, who we are expecting big things from, were nearly invisible last year.
Some disturbing numbers: 250-175-210-215-249-215-307-280. Those are the passing totals of LSU's opponent in each SEC game. The only team that failed to throw for 200 yards was Mississippi State. While teams were throwing all over the field, LSU managed 5 interceptions in SEC play. Peterson looked awesome late in the year, but we need the rest of the secondary to start living up to their recruiting rankings.
#3 SPECIAL TEAMS.
If there's one segment of the game even more underrated than line play, it's the special teams. Field position is one of those vital things that no one pays any attention to. Sure, it gets lip service, but no one really cares about the punter. And if punters are underrated overall, the skill most underrated by a punter is the ability to pin the other team inside the 20. Dalfey excelled at the coffin corner punt, putting 22 inside the 20. Helton supposedly has a bigger leg, but LSU will miss that directional punting ability.
And, God, did our return game suck or what? Holliday had one huge return against North Texas, but take that away and he returned 20 punts for 187 yards. That's not that great. Chad Jones tried to fair catch everything. For a team full of speed guys, you'd think someone would be able to return a friggin' punt. Don't even get me started on the conference worst kickoff return game.
Also, Colt David may have only been 16 for 21 on field goals, but he didn't miss a single attempt inside the 40. That's really all you can ask for from a college kicker. We're going to miss him.
#4 CHAVIS.
I singled out the secondary, but the whole defense sucked last year. Yes, mom, I know I shouldn't say "sucked". But it really did suck. There's no other word to use. I also know I shouldn't start a sentence with a preposition. Sorry again, mom.
LSU ranked 9th in the SEC in scoring defense, 9th in total defense, 5th in rushing defense, 11th in pass defense, 8th in pass defense efficiency, and 8th in turnovers forced. The defense failed in pretty much every way a defense can fail. Let's just say, I wasn't a fan of Mallveto.
I, like many fans, are expecting instant improvement. Not just because Chavis is a great co-ordinator, but also because the guys leaving were pretty bad (I really need to stop picking on them - I'm sure they are nice guys who will one day turn into fine football coaches at high levels - but this was like watching Mike Archer getting promoted to head coach too soon in his career). Maybe we're asking for too much too soon.
#5 THE SCHEDULE.
Opening on the road, cross-country, is never easy. Yes, it's Washington, but it would be an easier game if we had a tune up first. Anything can happen on the opening weekend. Especially breaking in a new defensive staff.
Then there's that whole at Georgia, at Bama, and at Ole Miss thing. LSU has about as tough of an SEC schedule as a team can have.
I really am optimistic heading into this year. I believe that a lot of last year's problems, particularly on defense, have been solved. That does not mean this is a perfect team and that another miserable year can't happen (and let's pause to reflect how awesome it is that going 8-5 qualifies as a miserable year around these parts nowadays - that's how far this program has come in 10 years). This team should rebound, but let's not kid ourselves, there's reason to be skeptical of the Tigers this season.
Oh yeah, and Bama is really, really good.
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Helton
Actually, I think Helton excels more in the pooch punting and hang time aspects of punting than in the long ball. His stats really weren’t that great, averaging around 35 yards per punt in JUCO. Chris Sailer’s kicking camp got him a scholarship and he supposedly boots the ball sky high.
I stay up at night worrying we will miss Colt David A LOT.
Father. Husband. Lawyer. Nerd.
by Richard Pittman on Aug 12, 2009 8:19 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Nah,
Jasper’s good man.
David was great, but not until the end of the 2007 season. He was merely good before that. The perception that Davis was always an All-American kicker is wrong. He was below 50% on kicks between 30-40 yds through the Auburn game in 2007.
Jasper will be fine as long as we hold him to 2007 Colt David standards, and not 2008 Colt David standards.
by LSU Jonno on Aug 13, 2009 8:25 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Conjunction, not preposition
The general guidelines say you shouldn’t begin a sentence with a conjunction. “But” is a conjunction, not a preposition. It’s ending sentences with prepositions that teachers from upon.
If anyone thinks that the Peach Bowl is an indication of how Jefferson’s 2009 season will go, I refer them to the Peach Bowl that Matt Flynn started and won. That led many to believe he’d have a great season in 2007 and be a high round draft pick. Instead, he was inconsistent and threw into double and triple coverage way too often. People ignored the fact that LSU rushed for 240+ yards, the defense dominated Miami’s offense, and the game was never in doubt, making Flynn’s job a lot easier. Don’t fall into the bowl game trap.
One of my things to watch this season regarding the defense is this: We’ve given the players the benefit of the doubt because we think the co-coordinators were the real problem last season. The players were the ones missing tackles and blowing coverages and assignments. If that continues this year under Chavis, then we’ll know that the players were just as big a problem last season as the coaches.
by dan iqua on Aug 13, 2009 8:56 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Don't hate me, but..
I’m tempted to do with this what Juco All-American did with your other piece, except not as snarkily. I look at some of the things you say here and I’m thinking “well, damn, I guess the same could be said about my Rebs.”
You’re inspiring, Poseur.
Red Cup Rebellion - Changing the Culture of Ole Miss Athletics
Take a picture, trick.
by The Ghost of Jay Cutler on Aug 13, 2009 11:39 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Dude, chillax, we like you and your blog.
We don’t agree with your opinions and whatnot, but that’s to be expected.
Red Cup Rebellion - Changing the Culture of Ole Miss Athletics
Take a picture, trick.
by The Ghost of Jay Cutler on Aug 13, 2009 12:13 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Damn you internet and your lack of intonation.
My bad. Carry on.
Red Cup Rebellion - Changing the Culture of Ole Miss Athletics
Take a picture, trick.
by The Ghost of Jay Cutler on Aug 13, 2009 1:19 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
As far as the defense...
…when you say that LSU finished 9th in the SEC or whatever it was, that sounds a lot worse than it really is. If you look at the national rankings, I think we were in the top 30, which for most teams would be really good, but it’s not up to our usual standards.
As to what was said earlier about the bowl game trap with Matt Flynn, I would take a Matt Flynn at quarterback every single year. He was mobile enough to pick up big first downs, and he was absolutely clutch. Remember when he threw 3 first half picks against Alabama, and then came back and hit Doucet for the tying touchdown on 4th down? He may not have been a great pro prospect, or super accurate, but he got the job done. Jefferson gives us a lot of the same characteristics, and I think we can expect even more improvement, considering he was a true freshman starting his second game. About Jefferson’s arm: it’s supposedly pretty strong, and we didn’t really get to see him throw many deep balls last year, because the coaches were trying to protect him. He did hit Lafell on that 90 something yarder that got called back, and I think it was also Lafell who he hit on a 30+ yard TD pass against Arkansas.
by Ianoka on Aug 13, 2009 7:15 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Matt Flynn?
As far as I am concerned, I would take Matt Flynn over any quarterback we have had in the past ten years. Matt Flynn came out every week wanting to win. His worst game in 2007 was against Arkansas where he couldn’t complete a pass to save his life. But he rebounded the second half and put them into triple overtime where he threw an interception on a two point conversion try. If we would have stopped them on 4th and ten that game in the first overtime period, we would have won it. Anyway, I seem to remember him lighting up teams like Virgina Tech, Mississippi State, and Ohio State. He was great in the close games as well such as Auburn, Alabama, Florida, and Kentucky. Matt Mauck won a national championship at LSU and had less talent than any quarterback of the past ten years as well. We just need Jefferson to be a solid playmaker and make good decisions. You have to remember that there are several electric players around him this year such as Branden Lafelle, Reuben Randle, Russell Sheppard, and Charles Scott. Terrence Tolliver will also be the next Dewayne Bowe. If our defense will be solid, we have got a legitimate shot. Keep in mind, LSU has had great recruits over the past several years. We now have a very high quality coaching staff on defense that will bring this squad together. Chavis says that Patrick Peterson is the best corner that he has ever coached. Chad Jones is probably the best safety in the SEC. With a shutdown corner and legitimate All American capable free safety helping deep, the linebackers should be able to put a stop to runningbacks and the short pass. LSU will have one of the top defenses in the country this year. Write it down. The only worry I have is three tough road games in the SEC along with Florida coming right after Georgia. We need to get by the bulldogs with a healthy squad to be ready for Florida, that is assuming we get by the bulldogs. Ole Miss and Alabama on the road will be difficult, but salt on the wounds from last year will help us be ready to play. Expect at least a ten win season.
by Big Papa Pat on Aug 14, 2009 10:31 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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