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LSU 23 - Vandy 9: Second Viewing

Because of weekend traveling, I am a little behind the regular posting schedule this week.  I would have liked to have had this post up yesterday in the late morning or early afternoon, but I couldn't because I did not re-watch the game until late last evening.

I continue to believe that LSU simply dominated that game.  Sure, the offense stalled for two long stretches, one in the first quarter and the other in the third and spilling over into the 4th.  Vandy could get nothing going on our defense, however, and while we are always "one play away from being in trouble" until Keiland scored his second touchdown there in the 4th quarter, Vandy never came anywhere near making that one play.

Star-divide

Because I am by nature a cautiously optimistic, and because "cautiously" is the first word of that phrase, let's start the detailed analysis with what went wrong: the offense.  We continue to have problems on the offensive line, both in pass protection and when we try a power running game.  I was keeping a close eye on the center-left guard combination of T-Bob Hebert and Josh Dworaczyk and I think I can diagnose the problem in pass protection.  The pass rush seems to have the most success when coming from Dworaczyk's zone.  He sometimes has trouble finding a man to block, has trouble keeping his man's arms down (Jefferson's arm was hit while throwing twice, and I think both came from Dworaczyk's man), and gets beat by inside rushers at times.

The coaches think Josh Dworaczyk is a very talented offensive lineman, but he is still inexperienced.  I think the problems coming from his direction should slow down as the season progresses.

I still can't figure out why we can't get a consistent push when we run with Charles Scott.  I do think that perhaps the problem has been overstated a bit, because Scott had more success running the ball than his statistics suggest.  While he only averaged 3.8 yards per carry, he converted a number of important 3rd-and-short situations that probably did not help his average, but helped his team a lot.  I don't want to gloss over the fact that we aren't getting the same kind of production from that area that we got last year, but I also don't want to condemn it without qualification, because qualification is needed.

The offensive line does a lot better when we run other schemes.  When Keiland Williams is in the game, we tend to go with a zone blocking scheme that works a lot better than a power-them-off-the-ball scheme.  It doesn't hurt that this is the best Keiland has run since he's gotten here.  He's running with authority and without being tentative.  He's getting the most out of plays.  He hasn't yet tried to reverse field and get us a huge loss.  I hate it for Charles Scott, who was clearly our best back last year, but I'm just afraid that Keiland is the runner who is best able to take advantage of what our offensive line is able to do well, and he should be getting the touches.  I just think that as of right now our offense is going to do better with a cut-back runner in the game.  It's too bad that we lost Richard Murphy, who really could have thrived with what we're doing.

In the passing game, people have rightly asked why we threw so many screen passes and short throws.  I will agree that we went screen entirely too often, to the point where the screens resulted in way too many unsuccessful plays.  Part of the problem on the screens was a lack of blocking by the wide receivers.  This group of receivers is not as good at blocking on those screens as previous generations of wide receivers were, and the best blocker of the group is Brandon Lafell, who is also the best receiver and seems to get the ball the most on these types of plays.

That's why the screens weren't as successful as they could have been, but they were also overused.  I think that is a result of Jordan Jefferson not being a particularly accurate thrower right now.  He missed on a couple throws to wide open receivers on Saturday, including a sure touchdown to Chris Mitchell that he sailed over the receiver's head.  Another example was the first snap of the game for us where it looked like Brandon Lafell made a great catch that was ultimately ruled incomplete.  Lafell was wide open and the throw just wasn't on target, and made Lafell have to try to make a circus grab.  I think Gary Crowton is reluctant to call the intermediate routes because he's afraid Jefferson just won't hit them consistently.  Still, I think it was poor playcalling to try those screens again and again when they were having such limited results.

Speaking of poor playcalling, I also didn't particularly like seeing us run not one but two options in which Brandon Lafell was the pitch man.

On defense I paid particularly close attention to the left end spot, which in the absence of Pep Levingston was occupied by a rotation of Chancey Aghayere and Lavar Edwards.  These two are drawing praise for their performance, but the starting Vandy right tackle handled them one-on-one the entire game until he got hurt.  Those two redshirt freshmen have talent, but they were no match for him.  After he left the game with a broken ankle, Aghayere and Edwards were able to get into the play a lot more.

I still cannot express enough how well the defense as a whole played.  Everyone got into the act of making positive plays.  Kelvin Sheppard seems to be the message board whipping boy so far this year, and he dropped what should have been an easy interception, but let's not lose sight of the fact that it was "easy" because he read the play.  While he couldn't come up with the ball, he broke up the pass what might otherwise have been a positive play for Vandy.  He also gets criticized for missing tackles, and yes he missed a couple, but he also made a couple big stops.

We still aren't getting to the passer enough, but we are at least creating a little pressure.  I would like to do a little more of this and really get a good pass rush going.  I just don't know if he have a pass-rushing defensive line, though.

I saw Morris Claiborne get into the game and make a tackle.  That's a name you're going to hear a lot in coming years.

All in all, the Vandy game was a positive step forward for the team as a whole, but we are not where we want to be yet.  We get a couple relatively easy games the next couple weeks, and hopefully we can iron out the wrinkles.

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I saw some good and bad in this game as well.

My pros and cons look a lot like jmellard’s over in the FanPost section.

Pros:
1) I pulled these two stats off of TigerDroppings, but I think they are really important so I’ll repeat them here. In 2008 only one team scored more than 24 on Vandy, and that was Florida. Also, only one team beat Vandy by more than 14 pts in 2008, again Florida. Vandy returned 9 starters from that Defense a year ago, which is as many as any team in the conference not named Florida. So our performance against Vandy is in my opinion consistent with how the rest of the league is beating Vandy, (that is, those who are actually beating Vandy).

2) Play calling was much better vs. Vandy than UW, and that isn’t really a surprise. They are letting Jefferson do what he can handle, building his confidence, giving him a little more each week. This is what we should have done with Lee last year.

3) Obviously the defense was much better, but I still have my doubts which I’ll talk about in the cons.

4) We could have scored many more points in this game. We didn’t push it at the end of the game when we could have tried to hurry it up to pound in a meaningless score at the end. We were forced to try for a field goal at the end of the half when we had first and goal at about the 4yd line because we ran out of time. We also had a fourth and 1 deep in vandy teritory that we usually tend to go for, but opted for the FG this game. (The fact that we didn’t go for it on 4th and one says a lot about Miles’ calculated gambles. We obviously don’t have a dominant power running game at this point, and Miles knows it. He plays the percentages and this play is a perfect example.)

5) After two games last year, against MUCH weaker competition, LSU QB’s had already thrown 2 INT’s. This year they have none. It appears (hopefully) that if/when we lose a game this year, it will be because we aren’t the better team, instead of us dishing out freebies leaving the team and fans wondering “what if”. This is 100% a product of the conservative play calling. We can’t have our cake and eat it too with these young QB’s, and we all complained about the turnovers last year, so we just need to deal with the play calling this year.

The Cons:
1) Our D-line got decent pressure, however we are merely average against the run, and that is probably putting it nicely. This will probably be a weakness on this team all year, and Bama will make us pay.

2) Our O-line is surprisingly poor when you take into account that “This is the strongest or one of the strongest offensive line’s that Miles has had at LSU”. I’m still worried about that comment.

3) Vandy dropped (I think) 3 drive extending passes. And these drops were not a case of our defense applying pressure forcing the QB to make a poor pass or a WR hearing footsteps, these were just bonehead drops. Vandy left at least 7 pts on the table from drops, and killed two other drives from drops. So while our defensive numebrs were good, they could have been much much worse. As a defense we can’t assume that teams won’t execute, we have to force them into mistakes or create mistakes. We still didn’t do a lot of that in my opinion. Our interception was not a case of our DB making a play, he was beaten on the coverage and caught a tipped ball that should have been caught. I’m not taking anything away from our 210 yd performance, but I think there is still a lot of room for improvement on the D.

by LSU Jonno on Sep 14, 2009 8:46 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

+1 on your 3rd Con

It’s exactly that issue that prevents me from getting too gung-ho about the defense. We were very fortunate beneficiaries of Vandy shooting themselves in the foot more than we can expect out of most opponents. Sure, we’ll take it, but some of those were real killers. Not just dropped passes but at least one mishandled snap I can recall.

It wasn’t a horrendous effort, just not one I’m willing to stamp a “good effort” yet relative to what I’ve come to expect considering our recent defensive history.

by GeauxTigers on Sep 14, 2009 5:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

See I liked the LaFell pitch play

Especially since we were having trouble getting him the ball as a receiver. And Jefferson has impressed me with his run/pitch decision making, and with the tightess and accuracy of his pitches (which is an underrated skill in a quarterback)

by 4.0 Point Stance on Sep 14, 2009 11:42 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I've been noticing

Jefferson looks a lot more comfortable running the option compared to last year.

by Billy Gomila on Sep 14, 2009 12:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like the Lafell pitch play as well.

Thought it was creative.

That play is screaming trickeration too. I bet we run a reverse out of it at some point.

by LSU Jonno on Sep 14, 2009 2:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

The only play that we have ran out of that formation so far is the option to Lafell, it would not surprise me if we were setting up a big trick play or reverse or something against a Florida or a Georgia.

by Ianoka on Sep 14, 2009 6:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Scott

Agree entirely on Scott. Some of the general articles, like I think Brett Martel’s recap, called it “not one of Scott’s best days” or something like that. Have you guys noticed this?

I’m withholding judgment on whether he’s regressed as a runner since his style is much more conducive to just following his blockers and running over defenders he winds up against one on one (or even one on two). He showed that exact same 2008 Charles Scott on a couple runs this game, so I don’t agree at all with people who’ve already concluded that he’s having any sort of down year. It’s the line play that’s great cause for concern and I think most of us have trouble differentiating good/bad line play from good/bad running backs. It at least SEEMS far more like the latter is our real issue thus far.

It’s magnified of course by the fact that Keiland has bounced back and run the ball very well, a runner who as you astutely note is far less dependent upon inside blocking and more on sheer speed.

Thanks for making that point.

by GeauxTigers on Sep 14, 2009 5:19 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm not sure it's Scott

at this point, I’m thinking it’s OL play that is not meshing with Scott’s style.

Father. Husband. Lawyer. Nerd.

And The Valley Shook

by Richard Pittman on Sep 15, 2009 5:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree..

T-Bob and Josh seem to be more capable zone blockers. Last year Scott could just push the pile for the most part because of our obvious size advantage. Although this last game is quite the quandary because VU were playing guys lacking ideal SEC bulk on the inside, actually across their line. I think we are more of a zone blocking stretch run play team this year, not to say we shouldn’t be able to blow guys off the line of scrimmage on occasion, I just don’t believe that’s the side our bread is buttered on (at least not yet) this season. We’ve had success running east to west even with Scott in the backfield.

We have a couple of weeks to work out the kinks before hitting the “meat” of our schedule.

by Mikeno on Sep 15, 2009 10:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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