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Around SBN: The Worst Team Ever Projected?

2010 Season Preview - Week 4 v. West Virginia, Sept. 25th

It's just under 4 weeks left in the offseason so we continue our series of season previews leading up to kickoff week. Every few days we'll preview a team on LSU's schedule this season followed by a mini round-table where we'll give you our takes on the important aspects of the game at hand. Each preview will have a poll where we'll ask you to pick the winner straight up. Next up, the best Non-Conf Home and Home series we've had in quite a long time, West F'ing Virginia.

 

Strength

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How will the best defense in the Big East stack up in the SEC? 

If the 1st few games of the season are merely buildup to prepare for the meat of the SEC slate, then this is the Mid-term Crowton, Miles, and Studrawa are fearing. Made of experienced Seniors Scooter Berry, Chris Neild, and Julian Miller (who led the team with 9 sacks last year), the D-Line has the ability to stop a running game cold, holding opponents to just 127 yards per game. Their Linebackers had no trouble getting in the backfield and helped the team reach 29 sacks on the year. SR LBs JT Thomas and Pat Lazear were the team's leading tacklers with nearly identical stat lines, combining for 11.5 tackles for loss. They also return experienced corners and safeties that held a 53% percent completion ratio and 17 INTs on the year, the main threat being JR FS Robert Sands, a huge safety at 6-5, 220lbs., who led with 5 INTs of his own.

They aren't as full of the NFL ready talent UNC has, and the depth chart is weaker comparatively, but WVU is likely one of the top 5 defenses we will see this season. An impressive offensive performance here will do wonders for the team's and fan's confidence going into a tough October.

 

Star-divide

 

 

Weakness

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Geno Smith will be doing this a lot this season

It's not really fair to judge Soph QB Geno Smith as a weakness before his first full season at the helm, but it's not going to be easy for him to be a successful passer. After some great years with rushing QB Pat White, HC Bill Stewart tried to add more of a passing attack to their game last season (probably sensing that Noel Devine would be on his way to the Draft) with mixed success. Jarrett Brown led a competent passing attack for over 2,000 yds, but an O-line still built for a runner let him get hurried out of the pocket too often, leading to a 11 to 9 TD-INT ratio and 24 sacks. Luckily, Brown had dual-threat ability, which led to 4 yards per carry with 6 TD's, a nice power running compliment to Devine's fleet-footed escapism.

By all reports and from what we saw in his limited playing time last year, Smith is much more of a pocket passer, which will be a problem behind that experienced but nearly unchanged from last year O-line. He will have good targets in Jock Sanders (last season's reception leader) and TE Tyler Urban. Whether he has enough time to throw to them behind a line that has not proven it can adequately protect him is the big question mark for the Mountaineers this season.

 

The Rest

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Noel Devine is hard to tackle

Some may scoff at the notion of Noel Devine being anything but THE main topic when it comes to talking about the Mountaineers. True, the impossibly speedy SR RB is the name you always hear in the highlight reels, and he will likely be even more the face of this team once WVU comes to town. Some were puzzled as to why he opted to come back for his senior season, but given the looming QB issues I've mentioned, it's a no brainer. He will be the heart of the WVU offense and has an opportunity for some gaudy stat lines if he stays healthy. His O-line isn't that great, but with his speed and maneuverability, he's never really needed their support, averaging 6.5 yards a carry for his career. The only real question is, how good can he be if he doesn't have the passing game support that keeps defenses honest.

Again the loss of Jarrett Brown leads to concern as he was their 2nd leading rusher last year. Behind that was a rarely used fullback and a few receivers who took the rock when Devine was briefly injured last year. Devine's true backup, Shawne Alston, only had 6 carries last year. That's a shocking lack of depth for what will be the bulk of WVU's attack this season.

 

When Last We Saw Them

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We are all still in debt to the Wannstache


We have never played WVU before, but we certainly have all seen them before. If Poseur's first ulcer is named "2007" then certainly a second, smaller but more intense one is named "December 1st." On the same day that gave us "Damn Strong Football Team" a majority of LSU fans, still high after winning the SEC Championship, sat down to watch the 100th Backyard Brawl and WVU probably play themselves into the BCS Title game. What followed was a stunning upset by Pitt that threw the postseason into chaos and cleared the way for LSU to play Ohio State for the title in New Orleans.

Otherwise you may have seen them when they visited Auburn for a game that may be a bell-weather for ours. Despite a season worst 5 INTs, WVU managed to hang on with over 500 yds of offense, but eventually succumbed to the Plainsmen in a 30-41 loss at about the same time last year.

 

 

Question Time

 

I'm expecting the Noel Devine Variety Hour in this game. Can our new look defense contain him?

Billy: I can’t imagine what it’s like for defensive coaches preparing for a back like Devine (or, for a recent SEC comparison, Darren McFadden), because it feels like an inevitability that he’s going to do something. You can stop the guy on nine straight carries and the tenth might still be an 80-yard touchdown. But this is also a situation where having a smaller but faster defensive front comes in handy. Plus, with the Mountaineers breaking in a new quarterback the defense can afford to sell out for the run a little more often.

Paul: The defense this year seems predicated on speed. We have two, undersized, speedy OLBs. We have two former corners manning the safety spots. And two tremendous athletes at the corner position. Miles says we have more speed at the ends than any point in his time here, and that seems reasonable. Now, the scary part about that speed is will they have a tendency to over run plays? Devine is the type (as you alluded to) that is as shifty as he is fast, and if he makes you miss, he can make you pay. I expect the strategy going in will be to contain Devine and make WVU beat us through the air. As such, I expect to see a lot of gang tackling. "Put a body on Devine" should be the mantra.

 

 

It's as if we intentionally scheduled OOC teams that will expose O Line weaknesses if we haven't improved since last season. Give a rough estimate of how our running attack does in this one.

Paul: WVU runs that 3-3-5 defense that we see Florida run a lot. They aren't overly big. Julian Miller (6'4, 260), their leading sacker from last year, returns, at one of the DE spots. Scooter Berry (6'1, 287) steps into the other spot on a full-time basis. And Chris Neild (6'2, 301) mans the NT spot. LSU has a major size advantage and should be best served by going right at WVU. Miller can really wreak havoc in the backfield (9 sacks, 14 TFLs) so containing him will be key to get the offense into a groove. That will be a mighty big challenge for Alex Hurst.

Billy: The mistake coordinators always seem to make with 3-3-5 defenses (and fast defenses in general) is they over think trying to exploit the speed with misdirection. Just KISS and run the ball right at them. The question is whether or not Crowton has the word "simple" in his vocabulary this season.

 

 

The 1st Annual International Trappers and Taxidermists Convention may prove to be THE tailgate of the season. Over/Under on 4 couch burnings.

Billy: I’m actually looking forward to see which side can create the more stylish coonskin cap. Ladies in Baton Rouge are always cutting edge of tailgate fabulosity.

Paul: I'll take the under. That is, unless LSU enters this game 1-2 and loses. Then I'll take the over (x100).

Poll
LSU v. West Virginia: Pick The Winner
LSU
264 votes
West Virginia
510 votes

774 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 11 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Damn, there was only about 40 votes in when I voted this morning for the Tigers.

I just hope Devine does not go nuts—if he breaks into the open, he will not be caught. They have a lot back on D, and I agree, I hope we got things together with O-line by then and can pound straight ahead with our size advantage.

by mjtig on Aug 4, 2010 1:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

I think we have an influx of 'eers today

Don’t be shy. Some explanation to your confidence would be welcome here

Managing Editor/Chief Lackey-And The Valley Shook

by PodKATT on Aug 3, 2010 4:19 PM CDT reply actions  

Didn't..

realize we had that many lurking eer’s around here. It’s also surprising that they are so shy. Could at least say hello; we don’t bite hard on the interwebs.

by Mikeno on Aug 3, 2010 5:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

little birdy told me

we got picked up on the ’eer rivals board. Wish I could see what they think of this.

Managing Editor/Chief Lackey-And The Valley Shook

by PodKATT on Aug 3, 2010 6:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

Go to The Smoking Musket for Hump Day! every week and Shotgun/Throwdown post often.

Good bunch over there, and I am sure some of them are roaming over to show confidence in their team, but man 520 votes is a lot.

by mjtig on Aug 4, 2010 1:56 AM CDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the advert

we’d love to have you guys over here at The Smoking Musket anytime

by WVUIE97 on Aug 10, 2010 8:54 AM CDT up reply actions  

Also

picked up on themountaineernation.net

very good group of people there. When I first read this (and voted WVU) LSU had 10, WVU had 1 (me :) )

by TwistedLemon on Aug 4, 2010 5:44 AM CDT up reply actions  

December 1st

No ulcer from that day because I had sworn off football for the month after the Arkansas game and I didn’t watch one second of the games on that day. I was, shall we say, pleasantly surprised when I checked the internet the next day for scores.

Fake Pundit. Real Fan.
And The Valley Shook!

by Poseur on Aug 3, 2010 8:18 PM CDT reply actions  

WVU

will be much mre balanced on the offensive side than given credit for. Geno (Our young QB) is the biggest question mark, but the limited action he saw last year was very promising. The offensive line is much better and more experienced than what it is given credit for in the above, and the skill positions of WR and RB are more than capable of providing Geno the needed support. RB is Much Deeper than mentioned above as well. Defensively, alot of returnees. You will hear alot of ’EERS complain about the 3-3-5 stack, but year in year out it has been a solid performer, especially in the second half.
We are excited about this game, and overall (on paper at this time anyway) I see the teams as being comparable to each other. Your house under the lights is one of the toughest venues for anyone to play in……14 total losses at night at home says something. Our venue will be a tough one for you next year….but that is then. Are ’EERS confident….yes we are. We love out team, and we love our state from no matter where in the country we are. The game will be determined by: 1. Turnovers. We can not afford to give you extra chances at home, and can not afford to put Devine and Co on the field for extra opportunities. Playcalling: A sore spot for many Mountaineers last season, I expect it is resolved.

As for the read: overall a good one that gives more respect than many others do to the Old Gold n Blue. Looking forward to it.

LETS GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! MOUNTAINEERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by TwistedLemon on Aug 4, 2010 5:41 AM CDT reply actions  

I agree twistedlemon

It’s been a tough transition to more of a balances attack but I think it’s for the better. USF and Pitt had figured us out. And Cincy wasn’t far behind. All they had to do was load the box. You will hear a lot of people bash Bill Stewart but I will applaud him for changing our offense and recruiting bigger, faster, and taller kids. We’ve been a young team for the past two years and we finally have some experience on both sides of the ball. Geno is my only question mark. He can get the job done but how long will it take him to get settled in. As for the O-line. I’m confident they will be much better this season because we have 8 or 9 guys that we can rotate in rather than 6. Those guys would just get wore down towards the end of games which is why we would come out and score fast but then couldnt do anything in the second halves. Overall I think we should be a good team this year and should contend for a BCS bowl bid. I am very excited for this game and hope it will be a good one. I have lots of respect for your program and really liked reading the article.

by ShadyMountaineer on Aug 5, 2010 11:55 AM CDT reply actions  

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