Behind the Numbers: LSU v UNC
by Poseur on Sep 6, 2010 11:03 AM CDT
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Once again, we take a closer look at the box score to look at those numbers which made a difference in the game.
2 - Number of carries by a running back not named Stevan Ridley. So much for the running back by committee. Ridley clearly is the team's #1 as the coaches only gave Murphy two carries while the freshmen never even saw the field. Ridley did not really impress me much, and he also had some serious fumble problems, but the coaching staff does not appear to have the same doubts. Ridley is The Man.
29.8 - UNC's average yards per kickoff. LSU's special teams dominance regarding field position continues. The average LSU kickoff netted 54.2 yards, putting UNC's offense around the 20, while LSU's offense started near midfield, on average. Field position matters a lot.
326 - LSU's return yards. Speaking of special teams, LSU had 326 return yards and 313 offensive yards. LSU gained more yards on special teams than on offense. UNC gained 436 yards on offense, but their yardage advantage disappears when we consider special teams. LSU's actual yardage advantage was 639 to 506. Hidden yards.
3 for 4 - Derek Helton's success rate inside the 20. I know this is special teams heavy, but I'm going to drive this point home: LSU's special teams are incredible. It's not luck, LSU consistently outperforms teams on special teams. As the offense has struggled over the past two seasons, the special teams has kept LSU competitive, and even won games for the team. Helton pinned UNC inside the 20 three times on four chances, only having one touchback. That's a great ratio, even better because UNC was unable to return any of those punts. Once again, football is a game of possessing territory.
33-24 - UNC had 33 rushes for 24 yards, an average of 0.72 yards a carry. That's amazing rush defense. UNC's longest rush of the night was 11 yards. Looking for positives on defense? There you go.
239 - Yards gained by the UNC offense in the fourth quarter. UNC only had 197 yards of offense in the previous three quarters. Without LSU's fourth quarter loss of focus, the defense had a great game. But, wow, was the fourth quarter awful. Throw in the -20 yards rushing (primarily due to the big sack), UNC gained 259 through the air in the fourth quarter. Yates' fourth quarter numbers? 15 for 23, 239 yards, 2 TD's, and an ATVSQBPI2 of 10.83. The rest of the game? 6.21. Not bad, but Yates was otherworldly in the fourth quarter.
55 - Yards gained by LSU's offense in the second half. 13 of those came in the fourth quarter. LSU only gained four first downs in the second half, three of them on one drive, which only netted 22 yards. This team simply packed it in the second half. Killer instinct, guys. Keep attacking. No mercy.
5.612 - The ATVSQBPI2 of Jordan Jefferson. Not great, not horrible. Just kind of there. We'll keep watching it all year.
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Just curious...
What was JJ’s QBPI2 in the first half- while the team was still trying to win?
by alange on Sep 6, 2010 11:43 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
53%
Stevan Ridley’s run effectiveness percentage.
To summarize, RB Effectiveness keeps track of yardage gained on down and distance, based on the idea that not all runs are created equal. For example, a 4-yard run on first and 10 helps you out a lot more than a five-yarder on third and six. Effectiveness thresholds are counted by the Football Outsiders as 40% of needed yardage on first down, 60% on second and 100% on third.
I don’t have a table of college backs handy, but a good NFL back is usually in the 50s, so Ridley’s number is respectable at least.
plays & time
Last year we had a terrible imbalance in plays and time of possession. UNC had the ball 34:35 to our 25:25. They ran 79 plays to our 57. In the fourth quarter they ran 26 to our 7. Obviously those hidden return yards & field position make a big difference, but considering that plays are like bullets in the gun, how many games can we expect to win if our opponents bring more bullets?
Don't forget 2 very short time drives for TDs
not much you can do about having more plays on offense when you start at the 50 and can make it to the endzone in one or two snaps. both scoring drives took less than a minute combined, i think.
Managing Editor/Chief Lackey-And The Valley Shook THE LSU Tigers Blog of the Week for 52,136 Weeks in a Row and Counting
correction
according to the stats, they both took 9 seconds. 2 scoring drives in less than 20 seconds combined
Managing Editor/Chief Lackey-And The Valley Shook THE LSU Tigers Blog of the Week for 52,136 Weeks in a Row and Counting
I’m not forgetting or overlooking. Short drives or driveless scores (special teams/defense) are great, but they are unconventional scoring chances. In any given game these sorts of things can account for the hidden yards/production that make the difference in the game, but statistical anomalies like 9 second scoring drives aren’t the cornerstone of a dominant offense. Even though touchdowns resulting from punt returns and 8 minute 12 play drives are both worth 6 points, I’d much rather have the drive (unless it’s late in the game and we can’t spare the time, of course). The long drive keeps the other offense off the field and wears down their defense.
This is a chronic problem with our team. Last season our longest drive (out of 158 possessions) was 6:44. We only had two other drives over 6 minutes, and we only had 12 drives over 5 minutes. Our 2009 opponents had 156 possessions. Of those, 17 were longer than 5 minutes, 11 were longer than 6 minutes, 4 were over 7 minutes and 2 were over 8 minutes. Simply put, we’re getting smothered by ball control.
257
Number of yards gained by Patrick Peterson.
Yes; two hundred and fifty seven. That is not a typo.
Holy fuck.
Gregatron is not responsible for any of the crap he just wrote.
St. Louis vegetarian blog
Still waiting...
…To hear Craig James retract his incisive, trenchant Spring Game analysis. Too small, indeed.
by Johnny Hutchinson on Sep 6, 2010 5:45 PM CDT reply actions
not likely
You’ll have to lock him in a semi-cool empty press room in order to sweat that out of him
too soon?
Managing Editor/Chief Lackey-And The Valley Shook THE LSU Tigers Blog of the Week for 52,136 Weeks in a Row and Counting
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