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Recruiting Roundup: The Quarterback Position

Perhaps no position has caused more weeping and gnashing of teeth than the QB since the departure of Matt Flynn. First the Ryan Perrilloux dismissal. Then the dreaded "pick 6" redshirt freshman season of Jarrett Lee. Followed by the lackluster offensive production under the watch of now starting QB Jordan Jefferson. Finally, the arrival and abrupt departure of our sure savior, Zach Lee. In short, the handling of the quarterbacks for the last three years has been nothing short of bungled. Production this year dipped to all-time LSU lows. Our third string QB was a choice of two walk-ons. It wasn't just the present that seemed grim, the prospect of enduring the same struggles all over again in two years seemed very real early this season. Alas, LSU nabbed two QBs in the recruiting process and the rebuilding process is now in full effect. Let's take a look at how the 2011 recruiting class will shake out.

Star-divide

On the roster:

Jordan Jefferson, SR.

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via t2.gstatic.com


 

The struggles of Jefferson have been well documented. After a generally unappreciated solid sophomore campaign, he regressed in every major category in 2011, including throwing for more INTs than TDs for the first time in his career. Jefferson did make strides as a runner, but failed to be a consistent threat as a passer. There are certainly flashes of brilliance (see the Ole Miss game and the 2nd half of the Alabama game), but those are only followed by sheer misery. 

Jefferson is likely the favorite to win the starting job next season, but I wouldn't etch that into stone. Many will revert to the mostly baseless Miles meme of "never playing underclassmen" (something which was firmly and strongly planted on its ass this year), but considering his struggles and Miles constant reiteration that we must get better in the passing game throughout the season tells me this isn't as over as many suspect. More on that later.

Strengths: Mobility, Arm Strength, Athleticism, Standing tall in the pocket, Size

Weakness: Slow Release, Pocket Awareness, Leadership*, Consistency, Deep Ball

Jarrett Lee, RS SR.

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via assets.espn.go.com


 

Lee's tumultuous LSU career took an upturn this year with a thrilling game-winning TD pass to Terrance Toliver to beat the Gators in the Swamp, as well as orchestrating a game-winning drive against Tennessee. However, in every game after the Florida victory, he struggled with consistency and accuracy. Lee stood up and delivered a big play at the end of the Alabama game when Jefferson went out briefly with injury.

However, the issues which have plagued Lee since his RS Freshman year continue to rear their ugly heads. Namely, Lee panics in the pocket and tends to bail out and try to make throws with his arm alone. Lee has an adequate arm, but he's no Jamarcus Russell. This often forces his throws to sail, a problem which lead to many of his picks in 2008.

Strengths: Quick Release, Short Throws (screens/slants), Leadership*

Weaknesses: Standing tall in the pocket, Deep Ball, Footwork, Consistency

*Note: I'm typically firmly against judging leadership qualities based on body language during games, but this seems to be the general consensus about each player.

Incoming:

Zach Mettenberger, RS SO.

Mett_medium

Alas, the new savior and this time there is no threat of Major League Baseball taking him away. To give further optimism, Mettenberger is an Early Enrollee who will be on campus this spring to begin learning the offense. Mettenberger had a great year at Butler Community College, which finished with a heartbreaking loss in the NJCAA Championship Game.

Mettenberger brings a lot to the table. Mettenberger started last spring engaged in a battle for the starting QB job at the University of Georgia. Reports of who lead the competition vary upon you ask, but the Spring Game footage of Mettenberger's performance is certainly promising.

Mettenberger is a big, strong pocket passer with underrated mobility. From watching his spring game tape, I come away most impressed with his ball fakes and ability to put touch on the football (something neither QB we currently have has mastered yet). He appears to work through his progression nicely and delivers a very catchable ball. Mett also has a big arm and should really rejuvenate the vertical passing attack LSU has lacked for the past three years.

Strengths: Arm Strength, Ball Fakes, Pocket Awareness, Touch

Weaknesses: Inexperience, Accuracy

Can he be the starter for 2011? Why not? If Gary Crowton is replaced this offseason, that could be all the advantage Mettenberger needs. From a polish + talent standpoint, Mettenberger comes to LSU more advanced than either Jefferson or Lee did. A new offensive coordinator means every player is starting out on page one in terms of learning the offense but also a new set of eyes means no inherent bias. Of course, Miles will have oversight of the decision and perhaps he will default to Jefferson for the experience factor.

However, I think we may continue to see a two QB system in 2011. But instead of your 2nd QB being Jarrett Lee, it might be Mettenberger (or perhaps even Jefferson playing that running QB role). Another thing to consider with a new offensive coordinator is the system. If Miles opts to go to more of a true spread (say like Mike Leach styled), Jarrett Lee could really blossom in that system. If Miles goes the pro-style route, it's more tailored to a guy like Mettenberger. If he goes the spread-option route (I'd say least likely), Jefferson would be the obvious choice (unless you get into a mess of moving Russell Shepard back).

All that is to say that simply penciling in Jefferson as the 2011 starter is foolish at this point. There's a long way to go and a lot of things can change between now and then.

Stephen Rivers, FR.

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via l.yimg.com


 

Yes, Stephen is the younger brother of Pro-Bowler Philip Rivers... I think everyone knows that. Stephen plays 5Aball in Alabama, and from more than one account, really struggled this season based on the lack of talent surrounding him. Regardless, he came away with an impressive showing in the Mississippi vs. Alabama All-Star game, and even won MVP. Many onlookers were impressed with his performance during the game, even after a somewhat up and down week of practice.

Rivers has a lot of raw ability. His arm strength is underrated (not phenomenal, but good). He's a big (6'7), but lanky kid right now. He's certainly not a guy LSU could play in 2011 or probably even 2012. He needs time to fill out his body and refine his skills. He does have tremendous upside. Some people will say it's silly to be optimistic about him "simply because his brother is good," but I don't think that's entirely true. Having a Pro-Bowl QB be a personal mentor (not to mention to come from a dad who is coach) can only help his development.

Rivers, like his older brother, has a strange throwing motion, but Philip has proven that doesn't have to be limiting. The real test will be whether or not someone can channel his talent. Philip was tutored by one of the very best QB coaches in the country, Norm Chow. I think we can all agree Gary Crowton isn't that. He's more of a long term project at QB, but there is certainly a ton of upside there.

Strengths: Size, Tutelage, Accuracy, Upside

Weaknesses: Strange Mechanics (may not be a huge deal), Inexperience

2011 Remaining Targets

Up until a few weeks ago, LSU looked to still be positioning for another, more athletic brand of QB. Rumors swirled about Teddy Bridgewater's desire to come to Baton Rouge. LSU had flirted some with Florida signal caller Jacoby Brissett as well. However, neither are heading here and LSU is finished at the QB position for 2011.

Future Recruiting Targets

I fully expect LSU to be in the mix for two, perhaps even three QBs next season with both Jefferson and Lee set to depart. LSU is already after a handful of top-notch 2012 QBs. I haven't taken the time to evaluate any of the following players, but here is a preliminary list of names you should be keeping an eye on for 2012:

Jameis Winston, Hueytown, AL
Matt Davis, Houston, TX
Anthony Alford, Petal, MS
Greyson Lambert, Jesup, GA
Jeremiah Briscoe, Houston, TX

Remember, it's early yet. In the fall of 2008, many of us expected LSU to be hot after Jacob Karam, figuring him to be a top-flight option in 2009. Instead, he wound up being a solid, but not spectacular prospect. Some guys dedicate themselves, grow or improve as seniors and wind up as top-flight prospects. Cameron Newton wasn't a well-regarded prospect when he committed in September of 2006, but by the year's end he was a 5-star and obviously we know how that turned out. Others who look like the next Marino will fade away as coaches get a better look at them in person. It's the nature of scouting and evaluation. But do expect LSU to be hot after several top-flight QBs next season and to wind up with pledges from more than one.

Look forward to the next installment of this series: The Running Backs.

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Couple of notes...

You list JJ and J. Lee’s class as their 2010-2011 class, and you list Rivers’ and Mett’s class as their 2011-2012 class. For consistency, you may want to show JJ and J.Lee as Senior and RS Senior respectively. Lee will have one year to play one, JJ will have 2 years to play one, Mett will have 3 years to play 3 and Rivers will have 5 years to play 4.

Also,

Stephen plays small school ball in Alabama.
Athens High is 5A which is the second highest highschool classification in Alabama. They don’t play the Bob Jones’ or Hoover’s of the state (both 6A schools), but there are some quality 5A teams in Alabama. Athens is only 5 years removed from a state Championship and one year removed from a playoff birth, so there is some talent in the area, just not on this year’s team. Rivers is at worst a decent prospect. I attended one of his games this year, and in the game I saw he had an inferior O-line and WR corps to the team he was playing. Having said that, he didn’t always make good decisions, but his team was so bad I wouldn’t be surprised if he was told to “just wing it” by his coach.

"I know the quarterback has a strong arm, but...I mean the ball's not gonna outrun ME" --PP7

by LSU Jonno on Jan 3, 2011 8:34 AM CST reply actions  

Thanks...

And good point on the years, mental oversight.

Many, I messed that up. For some reason I was thinking Rivers played for a small school… not sure why. I’ll edit.

His Dad is his coach, right?

by Paul Crewe on Jan 3, 2011 11:13 AM CST up reply actions  

I know one of the Alabama scout mods

Has said as unimpressive as Rivers looks at times, he’s the QB he’d want leading a 2-minute drill.

Still not sure how great of an endorsement that is, but I think LSU can afford a project QB at the moment. Provided they find a QB coach.

Writer (and a handsome one at that),
And the Valley Shook

by Billy Gomila on Jan 3, 2011 11:20 AM CST up reply actions  

I had no clue about his dad being his coach.

This is the Athens Football website. http://www.athenshighfootball.org/staff.html

There is a Steve Rivers on staff, but I don’t think he is the head coach. I think Allen Creasy is the head coach. Rivers may be the OC or something I don’t know. I’m not real big into the highschool football scene around here, I just made an Athens game to check out our QB commit.

"I know the quarterback has a strong arm, but...I mean the ball's not gonna outrun ME" --PP7

by LSU Jonno on Jan 3, 2011 1:00 PM CST up reply actions  

One more thing...
Jameis Winston, Hueytown, AL

How much are we in the mix with this kid? It looks like Hueytown is a ’burb of Birmingham. Are they a 6A school? I may go to one of his games next year if we are really in the mix for him.

I didn’t write anything up on Rivers because it was a last minute decision to go to the game, so I didn’t have a camera with me, and I don’t have the X’s and O’s knowledge of Billy, or the knowledge of what to look for in recruiting like you or Pittman so my analysis of Rivers was litterally what I just wrote (his talent looks to be overshadowed by a crummy team) which everyone knew already.

If there is enough interest on the site though for someone to see Winston in action though and report back, I may do that next year.

"I know the quarterback has a strong arm, but...I mean the ball's not gonna outrun ME" --PP7

by LSU Jonno on Jan 3, 2011 1:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Hard to say...

I’m sure we’ll be after him. How much of that interest will be reciprocated? I’m not sure.

Bama has one QB commit, and Auburn has a strong incoming true freshman, so I’m not sure how much interest either has in him or he in them.

TBH, I haven’t spun the wheels much on 2012… trying to stay on top of all the wild happenings in 2011 right now.

by Paul Crewe on Jan 3, 2011 1:40 PM CST up reply actions  

"Leadership"?

Come on! I seriously don’t even know what leadership is supposed to mean. The strength of this blog is that it focuses on quantifiability and objectivity. Concepts like leadership and clutchness and the like are fuzzy at best.

I don’t mean to be too harsh. Overall this is an excellent breakdown. But you guys should do all you can to avoid John Gruden-esque platitudes.

In the history of college football, no player, no coach, no guru, compares with [Les] Miles’s masterful incorporation of applied chaos theory and time relativity into strategic game planning. Simply put, the man is on another level. A level many don’t or can’t understand. Genius.

by Gregatron on Jan 3, 2011 6:15 PM CST reply actions  

Hahaha

I knew you’d chip in on that lol

by Ianoka on Jan 3, 2011 6:41 PM CST up reply actions  

You know

THESE GUYS right here are FOOTBALL PLAYERS

Managing Editor/Chief Lackey-And The Valley Shook THE LSU Tigers Blog of the Week for 52,136 Weeks in a Row and Counting

by PodKATT on Jan 3, 2011 6:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Gregatron

I think announcer’s toss out leadership and poise like candy, but that doesn’t mean that real leadership and poise don’t matter. I do agree it’s hard to judge it as a fan or sports announcer, but that doesn’t mean it’s not there. A guy like Tebow plays on more than just natural talent, and it affects his team. I think it can go the other way too. When JJ looks like the world hates him (essentially, like 90% of high school teenagers) that has to do something to his teammates.

by GeauxTiger on Jan 4, 2011 9:19 AM CST up reply actions  

I posted a caveat....

Just for you.

I don’t believe it to be a readily apparent strength or weakness for either player, but I just went with common perception of Tiger fans.

I should have just left it off.

by Paul Crewe on Jan 4, 2011 10:13 AM CST up reply actions  

Could we see a QB committee in 2011?

Loads gun….

by Mikeno on Jan 3, 2011 10:56 PM CST reply actions  

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