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2012 LSU Baseball Preview: The Outfield

Mikie Mahtook is not walking through that door. You cannot replace 383/496/709 plus 29 stolen bases. You can't even dream of replacing that. Mahtook got on base nearly half of the time, and hit for power. And was a terror on the base paths.

Mikie_mahtook_medium

Photo courtesy of LSUsports.net

We miss you, Mikie.

Given the low run scoring environment modern college baseball now exists in, relatively speaking, that is right up there with any season in LSU history. It's Todd Walker-esque, especially once you make an era adjustment. Mahtook was a great, great player.

So, now that we're all depressed, let's see what we have in the outfield this year.

RF
Mason Katz (Jr) 337/371/532

Boys and girls, here's the best returning offensive player on the team. Go look at Mahtook's numbers again. It's okay to start drinking. It's not unreasonable to expect some improvement in Katz's game, but that's not going to get him anywhere near Mahtook's orbit. The good news is, since there's no one big bopper in the middle of the order, Mainieri will be less inclined to go bunt-crazy again, to set the table for no one. I'm reaching real hard for a silver lining. I don't want to rip on Katz, because he is a good player, but he's not a guy you build an offense around. The mantra is balance.

CF
JaCoby Jones (Jr) 338/395/467

Jones' takes over Mahtook's spot in centerfield, which should mean at least we will be able to replace Mahtook's glove. In fact, up the middle defense is a team strength. You can tell this team is built with the elite pitching staff in mind, as LSU will trot out a plus defender at catcher, second, short, and center. Jones is a legitimate leadoff man who can get on at a 400 clip and steal bases pretty well. He stole 12 last season, the returning leader.

LSU is losing 46 stolen bases represented by two players, Mahtook and Watkins. Now, I've whined about losing Mahtook enough, but I'm not too concerned about the loss of Watkins and his 17 stolen bases. Those steals came at the cost of a dismal 226/351/316 line. Jones is an improvement every which way over that, and he should hold down the leadoff spot all year.

LF
Raph Rhymes (Jr) 360/424/486
Arby Fields (Jr)** JUCO

Fields led Northwestern's football team in rushing in 2010. Now, he is LSU's right fielder. He's another Chad Jones (WOOOO!!!) type - a physical football player who also happens to be able to swing a bat. More importantly, he can run the bases and draw a walk. He also led Northwestern's baseball team in doubles, so he has gap power, but that says more about his speed than his power. Fields could be a nice back of the order switch-hitter or at the very least, a good option of the bench.

Rhymes will start the season as the DH or at first due to his injured shoulder limiting his ability to throw. I'm terrified this means he also will be unable to hit, and that the recovery will sap all of his power. Given how last season went, LSU is due some luck. Even if Rhymes can't hit for power, he did steal 8 bases last year, so he's still a threat to run and he is the team's returning OBP leader. Once again, balance.

The bad news here is that the outfield is missing a singular talent like Mahtook. The good news is that every spot in the lineup will be manned by a pretty darn capable hitter, even if they lack depth. The problem last year was too many easy outs -- it seems that a lot of those problems may have been solved.

Tomorrow, the Pitchers OR yeah, they are that good.

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Mikie Mahtook

I get the sense that you were a bit of a fan of him….lol

The Sky is not falling

by ChadP7 on Feb 14, 2012 9:42 AM CST reply actions  

I will admit it - I'm trending negative to LSU baseball

Not so much because of how incredibly pedestrian this offense is, but because I’m worried this is just a symptom of a much deadlier problem: Mainieri’s apparent idee fixe that hitting just isn’t particularly important.

In other words, I’m concerned that this team is offensively mediocre by design, because Mainieri is more concerned with finding guys who do a little bit of everything — in his mind, the ability to play defense is just as important as the ability to squeeze bunt, and hitting the cutoff man is just as important as hitting home runs. Think of all the guys on this roster whose position (both in the field and the lineup) is basically “jack of all trades” — Dozar, Rhymes, Katz, Edward, Hanover, even Jones. I’m concerned that this is not a good way to build a team, but this is the way Mainieri wants it. Then I tell myself that Mainieri knows more about baseball than I ever will, and I write a 500 word essay about it, and then go lay down and breathe into a brown paper bag to calm myself down. Thank you for your time.

Don't Panic.

by 4.0 Point Stance on Feb 14, 2012 11:05 AM CST reply actions  

I agree with you...

I’m not too positive on this team at all. A friend of mine thinks they’ll be below .500 in the SEC and one thinks they’ll be flat out terrible.

I’m not confident. I’m not confident we even make the post season again. That is what they play the game for though, so we’ll see.

The Sky is not falling

by ChadP7 on Feb 14, 2012 4:04 PM CST up reply actions  

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