LSU Football is back and that means Stat Watch is as well. If you’re new to this exercise, I compile where LSU’s opponent every week finished in various advanced statistical categories, namely those you can find on Football Outsiders and created by Bill Connolly and Brian Fremeau. It gives a good look into what LSU’s opponent particularly excels at and what they don’t at a more analytical level. Since it’s Week 1, and until there’s enough games played to compile enough data for this year’s stat’s, we’ll take a look at last year’s advanced stats profile for the Miami Hurricanes.
A note on these stats: The offensive and defensive S&P+ marks are calculated as adjusted scoring averages and for the situational ratings, above 100 is good and below 100 is bad. Links to an explanation on the various stats here, here and here:
- S&P+ Percentile: 83.5% (17th in FBS)
- Offensive S&P+: 31.4 (36th in FBS)
- Offensive Passing S&P+: 116.9 (21st in FBS)
- Offensive Rushing S&P+: 113.9 (22nd in FBS)
- Defensive S&P+: 21.7 (22nd in FBS)
- Defensive Passing S&P+: 109.7 (31st in FBS)
- Defensive Rushing S&P+: 112.4 (30th in FBS)
- FEI: .151 (17th in FBS)
- F/+: 38.8% (15th in FBS)
Miami was an absolute rock solid team in every respect last year. No true weakness, Top 25 in the country rushing and passing the ball on offense, the defense was also solid in both respects but to some degree benefitted from riding a hot wave of turnovers during their run of ten straight wins to start the year. However, they did have a propensity to struggle in the pass game (they were 51st in Passing Downs S&P+) and this year they have a whole new group of starters on the defensive line. That could be an area for LSU to exploit, and could tell us quickly what Joe Burrow is made of. The offense will certainly pose a tough test, being strong and balanced both rushing and passing, exactly what you’d expect of a typical good Mark Richt offense. Overall, this will be the test you’d expect it to be for the Tigers. We’ll see if they can pass.